Daniel Negreanu, the all-time winningest live tournament player, and German sensation Adrian Mateos, are 12-1 favorites to win the 2018 Super High Roller Bowl in May, a $300,000 buy-in tournament, according to OddsShark.com.
Defending champion, Christoph Vogelsang, another talented German pro, is 18-1 to win.
A total of 48 players will compete in this annual event at the Aria Resort and Casino. Last month, 30 of the participants were selected via live lottery. The host casino will choose the remaining 18 players.
The Super High Roller Bowl, which will be livestreamed on the PokerGO app, kicks off May 27, just days prior to the start of the World Series of Poker.
It’s no surprise the oddsmakers believe in Mateos and Negreanu, two poker pros who have a combined $50 million in career tournament winnings.
Mateos is currently the top ranked player on the Global Poker Index world rankings and was the 2017 GPI Player of the Year. He’s best known for winning the 2015 EPT Monte Carlo Main Event for $1.2 million.
Negreanu is best known for being Daniel Negreanu, the six-time WSOP bracelet winner, winningest tournament player in history, and face of the world’s most popular online poker site, PokerStars.
Right behind this talented duo is Stephen Chidwick (14-1), fresh off his Super High Roller Bowl China win last month that made him $1.3 million richer. He currently ranks second, right behind Mateos, on the GPI world rankings, one spot ahead of Justin Bonomo, a 15-1 shot to win the 2018 SHRB.
Players Deemed Most Likely to Win 2018 SHRB
Daniel Negreanu (12-1), Adrian Mateos (12-1), Stephen Chidwick (14-1), Justin Bonomo (15-1), David Peters (15-1), Koray Aldemir (15-1), Nick Petrangelo (15-1), Sergio Aido (15-1), Nikita Bodyakovskiy (15-1), Ben Tollerene (15-1), Isaac Haxton (15-1), Cary Katz (15-1), Igor Kurganov (15-1), Phil Hellmuth (16-1)
If you’re the “go big or go home” type, you may find value in longshots such as Kathy Lehne (50-1), the founder of wholesale fuel distributor Sun Coast Resources. She has nearly $1 million in lifetime live tournament winnings and is worth $295 million, according to Forbes.
You may also find solid value in two past winners, Christoph Vogelsang (18-1) and Brian Rast (33-1). Rast took down the inaugural SHRB in 2015 for $7.5 million. The buy-in that year was $500,000.
CardsChat’s Longshot Sleeper Bets
Christoph Vogelsang (18-1)Erik Seidel (18-1)Byron Kavernman (20-1)Andrew Lichtenberger (33-1)Brian Rast (33-1)Andrew Robl (33-1)
The odds are likely to change in the coming weeks after Aria announces the remaining 18 players. Fedor Holz, Doug Polk, and 2016 champion Rainer Kempe weren’t selected via the lottery draft but all could end up in the field — and that is almost sure to affect the betting odds.